I think the Republicans will be absolutely crushed at the midterms, and actually may split even before then. Trump is at new lows of unpopularity and there is no sign of any upturn. The SC may go alo… (View Post)

While i agree that Brexit was never really about the national interest, it was about the Conservatives internal splits, nevertheless if May (or Cemeron) said that we would negotiate an economic deal,… (View Post)

Also May insisted that Brexit meant a hard break. Cameron could have kept the single market- which Dan Hannan always insisted was not under threat. (View Post)

Polls are increasingly an art, not a science- with MRA etc putting a mountain of extrapolation onto a molehill of actual data. Its why they were not actually that accurate in 2024... not least, of co… (View Post)

Quite. Not even one year of Trumpism and the US is losing the plot and all of its friends. NATO and the EU are, and should be, alliances of free partners and not an Imperium of subservient colonies. … (View Post)