Christopher

As far as I see now the tory core vote is down to wealthy socially liberal but fiscally dry pensioners plus some of the top 5% with kids in private schools. Thats it. (View Post)

Lets go back to 1997. Final polling average for the Tories was around 31% which was pretty bang on to their actual share. That is 8 to 9 points above what the final polling average is likely to show … (View Post)

Also the swingback is only taking the tories back to a 22% to 23% vote share which is what the survation mrp implies. And the raw data for those like jLP which puts the tories at 24% headline is actu… (View Post)