"We have painting evidence ...". Biblical scholars, eat your hearts out! (Particularly as they are non-vegan.) (View Post)

I suppose that whatever the average, both candidates will have support among voters with a range of propensity to vote. And it will be different low-propensity groups for the different candidates. Wh… (View Post)

True, but the leads are so tiny that to a good approximation all those except Arizona might as well be 50-50. I haven't checked my sums, but I think the other 6 states have 82 EC votes between t… (View Post)

Taking the difference from the polling average at face value and projecting nationally - as just a bit of fun - it would imply Harris winning not only all the commonly recognised swing states, but al… (View Post)

The September poll was also by Selzer according to fivethirtyeight. A couple of points from a very short BBC interview with Ann Selzer. This poll found a large lead for Harris among women, particular… (View Post)