No doubt the most important factor is the percentage of infections that have been detected. Also what stage the spread of the disease is at - the percentage of deaths will be low early on, higher at … (View Post)

How on earth can a CT scan be the "gold standard" for infection by a particular virus? (View Post)

The collapse of the health service in Northern Italy would be "no reason for special alarms"? (View Post)

That's not from the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team at all. It's from a preprint by one W. T. Pike of Imperial College and one V. Saini of "the Lown Institute" in Brooklin… (View Post)

Why do people find it so, so hard to understand the very basic fact that the Imperial College modelling is producing a range of predictions based on different conditions? It's hardly surprising … (View Post)