What a bizarre thing to say. If the lockdown has kept the level of infection in the general population in the first wave down to (say) 15%, then of course it has had a huge effect on care homes. BECA… (View Post)

I'd like to know why on earth we are still having to take wild guesses at these figures, despite allegedly now having huge excess testing capacity. A relatively tiny amount of daily random sampl… (View Post)

What people shouldn't pretend is that we can have a strategy of letting the less vulnerable "get on with their lives" while shielding the vulnerable. A large proportion of the vulnerab… (View Post)

Had to be amused by Nick Clegg's observation: “A misplaced sense of superiority, sustained by delusions of grandeur and a tenacious obsession with the last war, is much harder to shake off. We n… (View Post)

Other things being equal, that's what it would suggest. Rather than your conclusion of 0.5-0.8% IFR, presumably based on not having looked at the paper at all! (View Post)