Chris
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Re: As time runs out in the Brexit transition YouGov has “Brexit Wrong” once again with a double digit l
If only they would release the figures for the UK and Brazil separately, this kind of thing would become clear and we wouldn't have to speculate. Merging results from two trials with different p… (View Post)1 -
Re: Trump finally agrees that the Biden transition can begin but the Betfair market remains open – polit
Essentially the same mistake for the third time this year. (View Post)1 -
Re: What’s Trump really up to? – politicalbetting.com
I'm afraid that still makes no sense to me. There are two regimens, and results have been given for both of them. It's possible the difference is owing to chance, but it doesn't look v… (View Post)1 -
Re: What’s Trump really up to? – politicalbetting.com
I am only a mathematician, not a statistician, so don't take this as gospel, but the figures I get (assuming the splits were 3-30 and 27-71) are: Half-full: expected efficacy: 87%, confidence in… (View Post)3 -
Re: Punters still betting on Trump even though his legal and other efforts to stay have floundered – pol
I think they obviously did intend to look at both dosing regimens, because they used one for about a quarter of the participants, and the other for about three quarters. (View Post)1
