Chris

True, but the leads are so tiny that to a good approximation all those except Arizona might as well be 50-50. I haven't checked my sums, but I think the other 6 states have 82 EC votes between them, … (View Post)

Taking the difference from the polling average at face value and projecting nationally - as just a bit of fun - it would imply Harris winning not only all the commonly recognised swing states, but al… (View Post)

The September poll was also by Selzer according to fivethirtyeight. A couple of points from a very short BBC interview with Ann Selzer. This poll found a large lead for Harris among women, particular… (View Post)

Before people dismiss this as an outlier, I believe Selzer polls only in Iowa and is known for its excellent record of accuracy, particularly in estimating Trump's previous performances. In the last … (View Post)

This place used to be a source of informed political comment. Now? "I fucking hate this mayor. He's so openly shit ..." but because of 'demographics' "we can never get rid of him". (View Post)