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Re: Popular mandates – politicalbetting.com
Funny to see Trump having to ask for Haley's support, offering power over large areas of policy to RFK and so on. I reckon that for Trump to be doing that he must be very badly rattled indeed.1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
I think the Selzer poll does put a big question mark over a lot of the judgments based on "consensus polling". Even if it's what we would normally call an outlier (i.e. a one-in-twenty type…3 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
Whether or not people think the Selzer poll suffers from a systematic error, it's a significant change (+3 from -4) from the result from the same pollster nearly 8 weeks ago. Suggests the campaign ha…1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
"We have painting evidence ...". Biblical scholars, eat your hearts out! (Particularly as they are non-vegan.)2 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
I suppose that whatever the average, both candidates will have support among voters with a range of propensity to vote. And it will be different low-propensity groups for the different candidates. Wh…1
