FPTP & vote share: Assuming the polls are roughly right the combined Tory and Labour share of the vote will be at its lowest level in memory. Lower than the 65% in 2010. So a quick thread 🧵on the… (View Post)
A thread on MrPs: I've been doing them for since before they were cool and I'm going to do a little rant about the public MrPs. In terms of the Labour majority public MrPs vary here by about 200 seat… (View Post)
This* is a dangerous myth for Conservatives to believe. When Johnson announced his resignation in July 2022 the Tories had made huge losses and were on course to win only 211 seats in a general elect… (View Post)
Thread: Opinion polls often show lots of people personally willing to pay more tax. But they never ask the obvious follow-up question: how much more tax? We did. It wasn't pretty. https://x.com/DanNe… (View Post)