The other thing that's overlooked is that Portillo was the heir apparent to Thatcher - and Sunak has no obvious heirs apparent - not least of all because there will be a significant cull of potential… (View Post)

Our final poll of the campaign points to a 20-point Labour lead: • Con 21% (+1) • Lab 41% (+1) • Reform 17% (n/c) • LD 11% (-2) • Green 7% (+1) • SNP 2% (-1) Fieldwork: 1st – 3rd July. Changes from 2… (View Post)

TL:DR We agree with the Tories on pretty much everything and Reform on everything else, but Labour is going to win and we don’t like backing losers. https://x.com/robertshrimsley/status/1808506290970… (View Post)

For when Labour want to raise more tax: In his budget speech Jeremy Hunt made the following statement. “The average earner in the UK now has the lowest effective personal tax rate since 1975 — and on… (View Post)

Interesting thread: I’m going to do a short thread on what I think could be some surprises tomorrow night…. https://x.com/ProfJaneGreen/status/1808438043503649116 (View Post)