CarlottaVance
CarlottaVance
Reactions
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Re: Next London Mayor betting – politicalbetting.com
Twitter has lost its collective mind over this 2-point Labour lead: you’d think we’re in a system with daily elections. Here’s what the polls looked like for the 2010-15 parliament. The Tories went o… (View Post)2 -
Re: Next London Mayor betting – politicalbetting.com
Conservative support by age Group [Subsample Warning]: 18-24s: 9% (-5) 25-49s: 26% (-3) 50-64s: 35% (-5) Over 65s: 50% (-9) *It's only 1 poll*, so we can't read too much into it, but perhap… (View Post)2 -
Re: Reshuffle betting – politicalbetting.com
It's a mess across the wash - the first iteration of Scottish regulations said more or less "look at the dictionary..." I doubt any of the UK countries have covered themselves in glory… (View Post)2 -
Re: Reshuffle betting – politicalbetting.com
Scotland has much wider error bars than England - it could have been as high as 1-in-60, or as low (sic!) as 1-in-90 (iirc) - purely a function of base size. (View Post)1 -
Re: Reshuffle betting – politicalbetting.com
Slightly curious statement: The basis of population-wide testing is the availability of a high testing capacity in a country or region. During the webinar, the presenting countries reported the follo… (View Post)1
