Models vs actuals: https://data.spectator.co.uk/category/sage-scenarios (View Post)

Cases in Gauteng appear to have reached a peak of about 10,100 per day on 6 Dec on 7-day moving average basis. Cases are now about 8,000 per day on average. ......The above means in R in Gauteng has … (View Post)

Why? If the Constitution is reserved to Westminster why should Holyrood civil servants spend time working on it? If Westminster agrees a referendum, then work could start - but in the absence of agre… (View Post)

Even if ministers will not countenance a full-scale overhaul of the devolution settlement, they should consider one minor but worthwhile reform. Currently, the Scottish Government can instruct civil … (View Post)

This scenario from Imperial, for a hypothetical LMIC "with substantial prior transmission and low vaccine access", says a country like South Africa will see 6,000 Omicron deaths *a day* (cu… (View Post)