More than likely. Nailed on. Only real possibility of a Reform gain is Banff & Buchan, and that's unlikely due to resilience of Tory vote in Aberdeenshire. (View Post)

5 minutes of Peter Zeihan on US-UK trade talks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGNgTz1Rqfw If he's right, we really are stuffed. Either we get screwed as we enter NAFTA, or we get screwed tryin… (View Post)

No expert, but I suspect the only way to punch through all this is via directly-elected mayors who have the profile to be judged on their record, separate from their party affiliation. If successful,… (View Post)

I've not heard of David Runciman until I came across this account of his thinking (by James Marriott), but his defence of democracy seems plausible. I like the example of WW1 France. Perhaps the… (View Post)

It was real bad. I suppose another mitigating circumstance is that the ward is in a LibDem Westminster seat (was Jo Swinson's) which they are hoping to take in May for Holyrood. They will have b… (View Post)