SKS's ratings do imply a Tory wipeout. But the polls except MRPs do not. Something is up, I am not sure what yet. (View Post)

Labour is set to displace the SNP as the largest party in Scotland. Our probabilistic seat count suggests Labour will win 38 of Scotland’s 57 seats, the SNP 10, Liberal Democrats 5, and Conservatives… (View Post)

Swingback on what actual evidence? Labour's ratings and SKS's continue to go up and the Tories go down. To me this just seems to be a sign of tactical voting. I do think Labour could come somewhere b… (View Post)

Starmer leads Sunak by 23%. Who do British voters think would be the better PM for the UK? (28 June - 2 July) Keir Starmer 48% (-1) Rishi Sunak 25% (–) https://x.com/RedfieldWilton/status/18081788221… (View Post)

@CorrectHorseBattery got the ban hammer too. Great shame. (View Post)