Barnesian
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is not a government with any real support for its approac
An interesting article on Ireland and Brexit: https://www.ft.com/content/eaae31b2-c004-11e9-9381-78bab8a70848 Ireland appears to be a role model for the Singaporean economy that Johnson's regime… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting markets respond to Johnson’s Charles the First Mov
I don't know whether this has already been said but surely the reason the Queen invariably accepts the advice of her first Minister is because he speaks for and has the confidence of Parliament.… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With the Iowa betting markets now being opened a helpful prime
Putting the Kantar poll into the EMA (to even out MOE and outliers) gives: Con 30% Lab 25% LD 18% BXP 14% Taking an average of Electoral Calculus and Flavible (which are converging in their predictio… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » An unconventional carry-on
I suspect that there was a majority support in parliament for May's deal subject to a referendum. But she never offered it. It wasn't available. It would have been a sensible move on her pa… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Do or Die? The trap the PM has set himself
Before the FTPA following a vote of no confidence, the government could choose either to resign or request a dissolution of Parliament. Callaghan chose dissolution which he was entitled to do. Now th… (View Post)1