I don't think Trump and his gang were actively planning to challenge the election in advance of the 2016 and 2020 elections. In 2016, Trump was shocked when he won. In 2020, he thought he was wi… (View Post)

Good questions which have caused me to investigate and change my mind. Thank you. YouGov and NYT are reliable pollsters according to 538. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ Trafal… (View Post)

I think this election is very much about differential turnout of supporters in the swing states rather than convincing the undecideds, who are few in number and most of whom won't vote anyway. G… (View Post)

Why would that give you comfort? (View Post)

My exponential moving average (EMA) of national polls shows Kamala 2% ahead of Trump. My EC model using 538 moving averages by state shows 268 -270 Kamala to Trump. But I'm very wary of the poll… (View Post)