The current exponential moving average of the polls is Trump 45%, Harris 49%. (View Post)

Except that under PR(STV) the LDS would have run a completely different kind of campaign and got 20-25% share and seats. (View Post)

In Richmond, Lib Dems got 56% share of the vote in the last 2022 council elections and 48/54 seats. The Tories got 27% of the vote and 1/54 seats (now zero). That is ridiculously unfair. LDs still ca… (View Post)

Yes the positions are relative to the current centre, whatever that is. If the Tories collapse, the Lib Dems will be the Centre Right party to Labour on the left. If Labour collapse, the Lib Dems wil… (View Post)

Not so. They can grow and occupy the middle ground without picking a side. Whether the Tories or Labour are squeezed out is up to each party. At the moment it looks more likely to be the Tories. (View Post)