Nevada into 1.04 last matched. 96% chance Biden. Georgia into 1.34 .74% chnace Biden. Biden for the presidency I now calculate at 99%. (View Post)

There seems to be a big mismatch between the State odds and Biden's presidency odds. Currently Biden's probabiity on latest matched Betfair prices are: Georgia 59% NC 20% Arizona 74% Penn 8… (View Post)

I've just done a county by county model for Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Simply uprating each county by the % votes still be counted for that county gives an overall result of: Georgia Trump by … (View Post)

He's another Berlusconi but with more hair. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silvio_Berlusconi The similarities are uncanny. (View Post)

I have had a look at the five remaining swing states and the probability of Biden taking them based on Betfair latest price. Georgia 42% Wisconsin 79% Michigan 61% Penn 37% Nevada 67% There are 32 B/… (View Post)