We don't know yet. We need a bit of time and some polling. PB is representative of my circle of friends and colleagues but I accept that they are not a representative group. My daughter is absolutely… (View Post)

In the US, I see that Vance's odds of being next President are lengthening a bit to 4.1. As are the odds on the Republicans being the winning party. Though they are still favourites at 1.83. They wer… (View Post)

I've laid the GOP winning the next presidential election at 1.84. I think it is much less than a 54% chance. (View Post)

I'm feeling a bit smug this morning. I switched a big chunk of my ISA into Rolls Royce and BAE just before Starmer announced the increase in UK defence spending. They are now nearly 25% up. (View Post)

My real and scary fear is that Vance is elected in 2028 so we have 8 years of this! Currently he is the favourite to be next President, albeit a 25% probability. (View Post)