My predicted LD seats in England with shares (View Post)

She does want another vote. A big one for a LibDem majority. If she got that (whisper -she won't) then there would have been a really massive shift of opinion in the country and she would have t… (View Post)

The objection to MRP is not "I can't believe in large demographic shifts occurring". Clearly they have. It is reflected in the change in voting intention. (View Post)

The MRP modelling technique is based on sampling the voting preferences of a large number of demographic groups and then applying the result to the demographics of each constituency. It is a model. M… (View Post)

Thanks Aaron. The authentic nitty gritty of hard campaigning! I have you down as a 3,000 majority Con/Lab/LD/BXP 49/42/7/1 (View Post)