I've laid the GOP winning the next presidential election at 1.84. I think it is much less than a 54% chance. (View Post)

I'm feeling a bit smug this morning. I switched a big chunk of my ISA into Rolls Royce and BAE just before Starmer announced the increase in UK defence spending. They are now nearly 25% up. (View Post)

My real and scary fear is that Vance is elected in 2028 so we have 8 years of this! Currently he is the favourite to be next President, albeit a 25% probability. (View Post)

I'm on it at 70/1. Thank you Roger. Great film! (View Post)

Spoiler. Big plot twist. Putin, on the verge of defeat, is desperate for a ceasefire to regroup and rebuild. Trump is his useful idiot. Vance has insinuated himself into Trump's good books, in s… (View Post)