I've adjusted the transfers in the direction you suggest and get this I think it is extremely likely that Sunak is in the last two and a toss up between the women. (View Post)

My guess https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Po2HA9a7DDVi8tuTf-cV-wXdEhIjcCUg2fGqRcvl_cI/edit?usp=sharing (View Post)

I think it's going to be close. (View Post)

My mistake on Braverman. Now corrected. (View Post)

There are only three realistic outcomes: Sunak/Mordaunt - Mordaunt is PM. She is the overwhelming favourite of the Tory membership. Truss/ Mordaunt - Mordaunt is PM. As above. Sunak/Truss - Sunak is … (View Post)