You're right. I've retuned it and added today's data. Cases flatten over the next ten days and don't get down to 10,000 a day until the end of July. Admissions climb to a peak of … (View Post)

Covid is now killing less than 1 in a thousand cases. 0.7 in a thousand to be precise. (View Post)

I'll keep you informed. I really look forward to signing you up. Might take a year or two. (View Post)

So if 50% of adults are double jabbed but it was totally ineffective you'd expect half the 30K to be double jabbed. As it is 2K rather than 15K that have been double jabbed and infected, that lo… (View Post)

That makes perfect sense. You have to allow for at least 5% pa opportunity cost on long term bets. On that bet I'd allow for maybe 20% reduction in value. 1.72 is a 58% chance. If you believe it… (View Post)