Also the polls, which are mainly All Voters and Registered Voters, are over estimating Trump. Likely Voters polls show a 1-2% advantage to Biden in turnout. When you consider the makeup of the MAGA c… (View Post)

I'm following the US elections state by state, though only a few matter. The key states are: Pennsylvania (20 Electoral College Votes) Trump leads by average of 1.9% Michigan (16 ECV) Trump lead… (View Post)

.. (View Post)

Thanks. Lib Dems heavily odds on but illiquid. Looking at my smarket account I see some time ago I placed £50 at 2/1 on Corbyn winning a seat. Could come good. (View Post)

If Lib Dems get 50% in 64 seats and 1% in the rest, then the total share is 6%. The SNP got 43 seats with less than 4% share overall. The Reform Party will likely get zero seats with say 9% share. It… (View Post)