My guess at what's going on. If Johnson gets his hundred, Sunak will not stand and will ask his supporters to support Mordaunt on the grounds that Penny has a better chance with the members than… (View Post)

Scaling latest up to 357 10:10 22 Oct (View Post)

Not quite total on new boundaries. Tories get one seat. (View Post)

The problem is that on these swings, Lib Dems start to lose to Labour in LibDem/Labour marginals. There aren't many of them but Daisy Cooper loses her St Albans seat for instance. (View Post)

I agree. If Penny drops out and backs Rishi, some of her supporters will move to Boris. She needs to stay in the race to help prevent Boris getting to 100, ideally getting over 100 herself. (View Post)