I've spent time in Tiverton delivering leaflets. A burly bloke with tattoos burst out of a LA house and thrust the LD leaflet into my hand. "Bloody rubbish" he said. At another house, … (View Post)

No. And the Electoral Calculus tactical voting option doesn't work (not for me anyway). So I would add 15 seats to LibDems making 26 and take 15 seats off the Tories giving Labour an overall maj… (View Post)

I think that if Trump runs then Biden will run (if he's well enough) and will beat Trump. If De Santis or Haley or Pence runs, then I think Biden will step down to make room for someone else. (View Post)

I've used last price matched on Betfair to calculate punters' view of probability of nomination and probability of winning. Probability of winning IF nominated is the latter divided by the … (View Post)

Edit deleted already answered (View Post)