Barnesian

I hope the analysts doing the modelling are not simply using their best guess forecasts i.e. the mean of the probability distribution. Very often the cost of getting capacity wrong on the upside (cos… (View Post)

I think that Trump is going to be impeached after the midterms when the Democrats take the House (80% probability) but not convicted by the Senate unless the Democrats also take the Senate (30% proba… (View Post)

Here is one I've just generated. It shows the seats in order of % majority. You can use the x axis to see how many seats have less than some % majority. For example 225 seats have a majority of less … (View Post)

The NHS should provide GP surgeries in local clinics. (View Post)

Pi times the distanced between your legs. Say three feet. (View Post)