Trump just scraped 50% against a split opposition. Betfair has him at a 85% chance of getting the nomination. I think that's too high. (View Post)

It wasn't overwhelming in Iowa. Only half did. He'll probably get the nomination but I don't think it is 85% chance (View Post)

I've joined Community Notes and I enjoy rating them. I also have the right to write them to provide context. (View Post)

It's the idea of Heaven that terrorises me. Happy for ever and ever. How boring. A contradiction. At least Hell would be challenging. (View Post)

The focus on Davey is a big distraction from the bastards in the PO - the management, PR, legal, enforcement, IT. They are who we should be focusing on. How can we make sure they get screwed. EDIT An… (View Post)