I have it as Lab 48%, Con 46%. More like 40% chance for the Tories (View Post)

same here (View Post)

Two problems. The authors acknowledge one which is the large margin of uncertainty, particularly for individual constituencies. There is a heroic assumption that it will all even out for the national… (View Post)

It's a really good wager unless the Tories don't get a majority. (View Post)

and a glass of malt. Where's my kilt. (View Post)