Barnesian
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Buttigieg quitting the WH2020 race triggers Biden bounce in th
He leads Sanders by just 2.4% in Texas and the lead is coming down. My worst case scenario for Trump has him on 208 EV, best case on 334, mid case on 282 - all based on latest state polls. But a hell… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Free speech, one each. The myth of the oppressed rightwinger a
That North Carolina poll is bad for Sanders. In my model it knocks out Sanders in North Carolina making my central projection Trump/Sanders 284/254 +/- 70 (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As expected Biden storming to big victory in South Carolina
I agree with you. I think Hancock would too. I just watched a recording of the Marr show and I thought Hancock has got it just right, a phased approach relying on scientific evidence and advice, reco… (View Post)3 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For election junkies a great new resource from the House of Co
The bulk of my equity investments is in a discretionary trust for my grandchildren or their children. It has a mandatory end point in 125 years time though the trustees can cash it in at some point b… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For election junkies a great new resource from the House of Co
FPT It's a matter of keeping things in perspective and not running around like a headless chicken screaming 'panic everyone'. NB I'm not suggesting you are doing that. The FT lett… (View Post)2