My take is as follows: The election will all be about Trump. If Biden stands, Democrats who do not approve of Biden will still vote for him because they are more anti-Trump. Biden's approval rat… (View Post)

Hampton North Lib Dem gain from Con LD 1177 Con 771 Lab 159 Grn 106 (View Post)

It does. Tonight will be an illustration of the absurdity of FPTP. There are two by elections today in Richmond Park - Teddington and Hampton North. Results in by midnight. They will both be Lib Dem … (View Post)

Trump just scraped 50% against a split opposition. Betfair has him at a 85% chance of getting the nomination. I think that's too high. (View Post)

It wasn't overwhelming in Iowa. Only half did. He'll probably get the nomination but I don't think it is 85% chance (View Post)