Barnesian
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Re: A reminder that polling questions matter – politicalbetting.com
As I understand it, the bots are taking all the available spaces so if you want a test you currently have to wait a long time, travel a long distance or pay an extortionate price to a rip off mercant… (View Post)1 -
Re: A reminder that polling questions matter – politicalbetting.com
Or add another question to the current system "What is your driving licence number?" And state that only someone with that licence can use that appointment, and heavily publicise that restr… (View Post)1 -
Re: America elected the dotard Donald Trump, you’ll never guess what happened next –politicalbetting.com
I hope the analysts doing the modelling are not simply using their best guess forecasts i.e. the mean of the probability distribution. Very often the cost of getting capacity wrong on the upside (cos… (View Post)1 -
Re: The great disappointment – politicalbetting.com
I think that Trump is going to be impeached after the midterms when the Democrats take the House (80% probability) but not convicted by the Senate unless the Democrats also take the Senate (30% proba… (View Post)1 -
Re: The great disappointment – politicalbetting.com
Here is one I've just generated. It shows the seats in order of % majority. You can use the x axis to see how many seats have less than some % majority. For example 225 seats have a majority of less … (View Post)3