I think Boris's mate Zac will get a peerage and keep his role on environment. (View Post)

This is the final Barnesian model. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yIHH_ZtcH9w9JF5e8WwYD6QuhOhlVwCO_GboafT6kfc/edit?usp=sharing (View Post)

I have it as Lab 48%, Con 46%. More like 40% chance for the Tories (View Post)

same here (View Post)

Two problems. The authors acknowledge one which is the large margin of uncertainty, particularly for individual constituencies. There is a heroic assumption that it will all even out for the national… (View Post)