I don't think the Russians have the capacity to resist the Americans. China has. Forget Taiwan as the next flash point. It will be China escorting its tankers out of Venezuela through a US block… (View Post)

In general things progress slower than expected, then much faster. It's S shaped. (View Post)

His prefrontal cortex is degenerating. He has lost the ability to judge social norms and inhibit inappropriate decision-making or aggressive impulses. He just blurts it out. It's sign of early d… (View Post)

FPT Based on % change in vote share: Con 20,517 to 16,060 Grn 7,596 to 16,183 Ref 7,548 to 14,685 Tight, I admit. (View Post)

I know it's three years away, but my snapshot today, based on the current EMA of vote shares and my personal switching model with some tactical voting is as follows: LDs retain all current 72 se… (View Post)