You have to admit that Cleverly was struggling - actually gulping. He became incoherent. Swinson, in contrast, was relaxed yet focused. She has a good rapport with Neil. I don't think Neil respe… (View Post)

My model gives these results for NE Somerset Model/Poll Con 49/44 LD 24/28 Lab 14/14 BXP 8/7 Grn 3/3 (View Post)

Warning: This post is for modelling nerds. The Cambridge poll has allowed me to compare my tactical model's prediction for Cambridge with the constituency poll, and fine-tune my assumptions. Pol… (View Post)

I've signed up with Tory, Labour and LibDem parties so that I can get the material that goes to their supporters and activists. I'm now going to have to sign up to the BXP to get their mate… (View Post)

Sam Gymiah has a majority of 23,914 in East Surrey. I wonder if Zac can lose that to a LibDem. He lost his majority of 23,015 in Richmond Park to Sarah Olney (majority 1,872) in the Richmond Park by … (View Post)