Putting the latest four polls into my model gives: Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48 Sporting Index Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47 (View Post)

I've updated my model with the 60 Unite for Remain seats adjusted. PC gain Ynys Mon and LDs gain Guildford and Portsmouth South. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yIHH_ZtcH9w9JF5e8WwYD6Quh… (View Post)

Next time is next year. 45% chance of slim Tory majority which won't survive extension of transition next June. 55% chance of Labour minority government (100 short of a majority) that survives n… (View Post)

She's having voice coaching. It showed in the HOC where she spoke slowly and with a lower timbre and got attention and respect. It shows less well in interviews where she is not delivering a pre… (View Post)

And more devolution to local authorities including the right to raise their own finance. (View Post)