Barnesian
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let’s talk landslides
I know about the Grimsby seat specific polling. That is why I have reduced the tactical voting for Labour by BXP supporters to zero, even though many BXP supporters are ex-Labour. My model still show… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let’s talk landslides
I'm so sorry! You are right. I'm looking at next government. In theory the odds on Tory majority should be same and they nearly are. My basic point was the odds were lengthening slightly. M… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Swinson’s Choice
Latest model predictions Con/Lab/LD 332/219/30 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yIHH_ZtcH9w9JF5e8WwYD6QuhOhlVwCO_GboafT6kfc/edit?usp=sharing @alb1on You mentioned Finchley and Hampstead. The a… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets the debate has changed nothing
By giving them a criminal record for smoking pot or taking E. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Johnson’s TV debate strategy could be a mistake
I've fixed the bug. It doesn't affect the seat totals but it does affect the shares in some constituencies. In Bermondsey it is now Con/Lab/LD 9/41/47. Still a LD gain but not a silly share… (View Post)1