Sorry it isn't clear even if you think it is. If it were clear then there would only be two names in the next President bet, and the odds on Trump/Biden would be identical to Republican/Democrat… (View Post)

Coney Barrett has already tested positive for the virus and has since recovered. She is a survivor. (View Post)

Yes but the bet isn't on his death, merely on him not finishing his first term. I have money on this, not because of his death, but I have taken the view that he will walk away rather than lose.… (View Post)

My book (View Post)

Good comment So my black swan (i.e. possible but unlikely) is that Biden also tests positve and is too ill to go on. Then Pence versus Harris and Pence wins. So my revised most likely scenario is tha… (View Post)