"The speech had been proceeding for perhaps twenty minutes when a messenger hurried on to the platform and a scrap of paper was slipped into the speaker’s hand. He unrolled and read it without p… (View Post)

Nevada into 1.04 last matched. 96% chance Biden. Georgia into 1.34 .74% chnace Biden. Biden for the presidency I now calculate at 99%. (View Post)

There seems to be a big mismatch between the State odds and Biden's presidency odds. Currently Biden's probabiity on latest matched Betfair prices are: Georgia 59% NC 20% Arizona 74% Penn 8… (View Post)

I've just done a county by county model for Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Simply uprating each county by the % votes still be counted for that county gives an overall result of: Georgia Trump by … (View Post)

He's another Berlusconi but with more hair. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silvio_Berlusconi The similarities are uncanny. (View Post)