Next time is next year. 45% chance of slim Tory majority which won't survive extension of transition next June. 55% chance of Labour minority government (100 short of a majority) that survives n… (View Post)

She's having voice coaching. It showed in the HOC where she spoke slowly and with a lower timbre and got attention and respect. It shows less well in interviews where she is not delivering a pre… (View Post)

And more devolution to local authorities including the right to raise their own finance. (View Post)

Con 36.6%, Lab 23.4% would give the Tories 327 seats. So a 13% lead would do it. Remember there are a lot of SNP and LD seats. It's not just the lead over Labour. Even with a 13% lead in my exam… (View Post)

Every 1% equals 7 Tory seats EDIT: Incidentally I've now unlocked my google document with the results by constituency (England only) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hCm3uVr3Z6DI4nFxUjmOy… (View Post)