I can only find four polls since the debate comparing Harrs and Biden versus Trump. Your JLP 3rd July Harris -11%, Biden -5% versus Trump IPSOS 2nd July Harris -1%, Biden -2% YouGov 1st July Harris -… (View Post)

There are other recent pollsters with very different figures. For example IPSOS 2nd July Harris 42% Trump 43% (View Post)

I'm in the same betting boat as you. If Trump wins, it will be my biggest betting loss ever - I laid Trump starting in May 2021 at 10s. Average is 7.7. Ouch. But a far bigger loss will be the impact … (View Post)

That's the key. I think most people are equally appalled by what Israel and Russia are doing pounding hospitals. But we expect much better from Israel so we call it out in the (forlorn) hope of influ… (View Post)

With STV, votes in other constituencies wouldn't change your MPs. It's just that your MPs would better reflect local preferences. There would also be competition between candidates of the same party.… (View Post)