The y-axis is R, yes, from zero to R0; x-axis is mobility reduction from 0% to 100%, 0% being "everyone acts exactly as if there were no virus" and 100% being "literally everyone stays… (View Post)

If there's receivership and liquidation then the "new owners" would be starting from the Combined Counties League Division One (Step 6/level 10) as it would be a completely new legal e… (View Post)

It seems to me as if the case for NPIs rested on an unspoken assumption that the graph of transmission vs mobility reduction looked something like this: But in reality it seems to have been more like… (View Post)

If the numbers allow a more stable Con-led coalition than Lab-led coalition, a Con-led coalition is what we will have. Just like in 2010. (View Post)

5. There is no clear relationship between levels of excess mortality and different levels of restrictions/ NPIs across Western Europe or indeed the whole of Europe. Months and months of lockdown show… (View Post)