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Re: Will Johnson make the 2022 leader’s conference speech? – politicalbetting.com
I did. And if there were a general election tomorrow, to use the opinion polls' formulation, I probably would again, because my Tory MP is sensible about the virus and whoever the Labour lobby f… (View Post)1 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
Having an English parliament using the HoC facilities? It's possible, but you'd still have to elect a separate load of Members of the English Parliament (yeah, that needs a better acronym) … (View Post)1 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
If they aren't going to make any difference, why do them? (View Post)2 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
One thing they taught me at school is that in these situations, the easier calculation is very often 1 minus the inverse of what the question asks for. (View Post)2 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
I'm assuming that if your first draw isn't green, you don't put the ball back as otherwise it's the same puzzle. P(lose) = 3/4 * 2/3 = 1/2 (View Post)2