You can't conclude Reform are finished because of two by-elections in Greater Manchester. Their strongest areas are probably West Midlands, East Midlands and East Anglia. (View Post)

How does Aaron explain Aberdeen South? (View Post)

One the one hand I predicted the correct winner in each by-election, but on the other hand I said it would be very close in both Aberdeen and Makerfield which it wasn't. (View Post)

PMs spend hardly any time in their own constituencies. But voters don't usually seem to mind. They just like being able think of their MP as doing the top job. (View Post)

What Reform really needs is by-elections in the East Midlands, West Midlands, East Anglia. Greater Manchester just isn't as good for them as those areas. (View Post)