If I were in the Trump camp I'd be slightly concerned that the lead over Harris is only 2% before the campaign has really started. She doesn't seem to be as unpopular as we've been led… (View Post)

I remember this "A lot of Tory voters will be dead by the next election" line after the 1997 election. History repeats itself. In reality the party will attract new voters under Kemi Badeno… (View Post)

"With Biden out, Vance may be the wrong pick for Trump The former president has an electability problem among women, and his pick for vice president only compounds it." https://www.politico… (View Post)

Astonishing to think this could happen wrt a UK prime minister. "Former PM Lord Wilson sold papers to help fund his care" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cljy0jw4rwpo (View Post)

Nate Silver urges us to be cautious about polling for the moment. "Nate Silver @NateSilver538 The rule of thumb is that it's a huge mess. Yes, we'll turn the model back on before then,… (View Post)