Yay, the moment we've all been waiting for. 😊 I thought it might not be returning this time. Hang on, I'm getting a pay wall. I thought they'd lifted it. (View Post)

They voted 61-38 Trump last time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics (View Post)

Also there's the perennial problem of whether "67% reporting" means 67% of votes or 67% of precincts. (View Post)

The most Democratic part of Virginia almost always come in at the end. (View Post)

Mostly just raw data of opinion polls, and experience of observing elections over the years, getting a feel of how things go. Noticing what mistakes people/organisations tend to make with predictions… (View Post)