"Dave Wasserman @Redistrict Latest numbers: across the seven battleground states, the '20-'24 swing towards Trump was ~3.1 pts. Across the other 43 states (+DC), it was ~6.7 pts. Botto… (View Post)

Other Harris mistakes: not being able to say what she'd do differently compared to Biden, and telling black men to look forward to being able to sell weed. (View Post)

Saying everyone under 55 has a smartphone today is a bit like saying everyone had a VHS video player in the 1990s or everyone had a house-phone in the 1980s. It's never actually true, there are … (View Post)

Re predictions, it's still possible my election forecasts could be within about 1.5% of the final result in the swing states, but that doesn't cut the mustard when you get the winner wrong … (View Post)

I take your point about Sullivan. (View Post)