Also there's the perennial problem of whether "67% reporting" means 67% of votes or 67% of precincts. (View Post)

The most Democratic part of Virginia almost always come in at the end. (View Post)

Mostly just raw data of opinion polls, and experience of observing elections over the years, getting a feel of how things go. Noticing what mistakes people/organisations tend to make with predictions… (View Post)

I did my forecasts without looking at any other prediction websites because I find that's the best way to make accurate predictions. Finished 99% of it last night, made a few small adjustments t… (View Post)

Prediction spreadsheet. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MVa3Q-yHGT_b2F7kxPjh6xyNmeOIRBo1_C56DDT3miY/edit?gid=0#gid=0 (View Post)