Just feeling sorry, more than anything, for the people on Twitter making fools of themselves over Kemi's election. (View Post)

Probably not a great day for Jolyon from the point of view of forecasts. (View Post)

My guess is Kemi won by a large margin in the south-east and London, with Jenrick winning more narrowly in the rest of the country. (View Post)

With legendary modesty, my prediction of 55/45 to Badenoch was pretty good. Maybe it's time to turn attention to doing a US election spreadsheet, which I've been too lazy to start so far. (View Post)

Slight correction to the result. Jenrick got 41,388 not 41,318. Badenoch 53,806 (56.52%) Jenrick 41,388 (43.48%) (View Post)