Amending the projection to take into account the latest ONS infections data and using the updated effective IFR (and using the existing decrease in the most recent days, which equates to a hair over … (View Post)

You could give the Pfizer one to most secondary school pupils (it was trialled on ages 12 and over), and they’re probably the biggest source of spread in the school environments. (View Post)

It's starting to look to me as though Tier 3 can reduce R to around 1; Tier 2 to around 1.2, and Tier 1 to around 1.3 or 1.4 (when the schools and universities are operating; maybe each decreasi… (View Post)

In addition - it’s not like it’s something that has changed. We’ve had this level of spread and hospitalisation and death with this in the background all along. It’s not some new thing that’s sprung … (View Post)

I read that study. They concluded that up to 25% would have a temporary degree of immunity caused by T-cells generated by other coronaviruses. This could help people fight off an infection - but unli… (View Post)